Andreas Murr
Andreas Murr
CIDE & University of Warwick
Verified email at - Homepage
Cited by
Cited by
“Wisdom of crowds”? A decentralised election forecasting model that uses citizens’ local expectations
AE Murr
Electoral Studies 30 (4), 771-783, 2011
The wisdom of crowds: Applying Condorcet’s jury theorem to forecasting US presidential elections
AE Murr
International Journal of Forecasting 31 (3), 916-929, 2015
The wisdom of crowds: What do citizens forecast for the 2015 British General Election?
AE Murr
Electoral Studies 41, 283-288, 2016
Mapping subnational poverty in Zambia
A De la Fuente, A Murr, E Rascón
World Bank, Washington, DC, 2015
Social networks and citizen election forecasting: The more friends the better
D Leiter, A Murr, ER Ramírez, M Stegmaier
International Journal of Forecasting 34 (2), 235-248, 2018
Vote expectations versus vote intentions: rival forecasting strategies
AE Murr, M Stegmaier, MS Lewis-Beck
British Journal of Political Science 51 (1), 60-67, 2021
Modeling latent information in voting data with Dirichlet process priors
R Traunmüller, A Murr, J Gill
Political Analysis 23 (1), 1-20, 2015
The party leadership model: An early forecast of the 2015 British general election
AE Murr
Research & Politics 2 (2), 2053168015583346, 2015
Citizen forecasting 2020: A state-by-state experiment
AE Murr, MS Lewis-Beck
PS: Political Science & Politics 54 (1), 91-95, 2021
Citizen forecasts of the 2021 German election
AE Murr, MS Lewis-Beck
PS: Political Science & Politics 55 (1), 97-101, 2022
hot. deck: Multiple Hot-deck Imputation
S Crammer, J Gill, N Jackson, A Murr, D Armstrong
R package version 1 (0), 2016
Citizen Forecasting: The 2022 French Presidential Election
Y Dufresne, B Jérôme, MS Lewis-Beck, AE Murr, J Savoie
PS: Political Science & Politics 55 (4), 730-734, 2022
Citizen forecasting 2019: a big win for the Conservatives
A Murr, M Stegmaier, MS Lewis-Beck
British Policy and Politics at LSE, 1-4, 2019
Citizen Forecasting in the 2010 British General Election
AE Murr
University of Essex, 2013
Do party leadership contests forecast British general elections?
AE Murr
Electoral Studies 72, 102342, 2021
Computing quantities of interest and their uncertainty using Bayesian simulation
A Murr, R Traunmüller, J Gill
Political Science Research and Methods 11 (3), 623-632, 2023
Using citizen forecasts we predict that with 362 electoral votes, Hillary Clinton will be the next president
A Murr, M Stegmaier, MS Lewis-Beck
USApp–American Politics and Policy Blog, 2016
Package ‘hot. deck’
S Cranmer, J Gill, N Jackson, A Murr, D Armstrong, MD Armstrong
Bürger: innenprognosen in einem Mischwahlsystem: Die deutsche Bundestagswahl 2021 als Testfall
A Leininger, AE Murr, LF Stoetzer, MA Kayser
Wahlen und Wähler: Analysen zur Bundestagswahl 2021, 383-411, 2024
Voters’ Expectations in Constituency Elections without Local Polls
LF Stoetzer, MA Kayser, A Leininger, AE Murr
Public Opinion Quarterly 88 (2), 408-418, 2024
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Articles 1–20